I have been very bullish on the financials ($XLF) but the market is starting to look a little tired, and I think the financials will be dragged down too. I got short Goldman Sachs ($GS) today, and am looking for a selloff into next month. The next good looking daily demand is 173.27.
My entry is a somewhat tiny 15 minute zone, but to me this short term price action is telling. $GS failed at the highs earlier this weak, and is now starting to break down in my opinion.
I closed a bunch of trades today, and sit largely in cash, looking for tactical opportunities every day. Now is not a time to be loading up for the long term.
There are also a number of opportunities to get short in some other names, and I have resting orders to sell. These names include
Spending some quiet time looking at the markets while they are closed often provides some much needed perspective. The indexes were strong this week, and it looks like they are ready for another leg up. I like to look at the sectors to see if there are any trading opportunities, or just anything that stands out that will give me a clue as to where to turn my attention during the week.
Starting with the $XLF which broke out of a consolidation pattern and is just holding there.
Full disclosure, I am short $XLF as well as $JPM. I faded the move out, and will be watching for a break of last weeks high or low either way.
Consumer staples ($XLP) broke out nicely this week. I see no immediate trading opportunity in the index, but I will be looking for opportunities in individual stocks in the sector.
Healthcare ($XLV) is another strong one, breaking out of an ascending triangle.
I will be looking to get long on a retest of that breakout.
The retail sector ($XRT) is a very interesting one to me. It has been relatively weak the past month, the weakest of the sectors that I watch in fact. I am interesting in the short side due to this relative weakness, and am eatching the 84.50 level. It is a nice bull trap trade – breaking out above 84 right into supply.
My target is 81 on this one, but I’ll leave a trailer for the possibility of retesting the 78 level.
Biotech ($IBB) is another good looking chart. It broke out of an ascending triangle, and the next stop to me looks like the highs near 280.
I am looking at the smaller timeframes for an entry, and like the 236 level.
Homebuilders ($XHB) has made a new swing high, so I like the look of the long. I am looking at 31 for my entry, a nice base just above the low, again looking for a retest of the highs.
That’s everything that I am watching right now, lets see how those pan out this week. It is important to be patient right now as we are in summer trading.